Much like in other sports, there is no known or quantifiable “clutch” skill in winning “close” football games, with close in this instance being defined as games where the final point separation is 7 points or less. In general, any given team can be expected to win about half of these games. The Eagles have had 4 games this season where the final point separation has been 7 points or less. They are 1-4 in those games. On the other side of the coin, the Giants are 4-0 in those games.
The 2011 Philadelphia Eagles are a good football team that have been unbelievably unlucky. Vegas still loves the Eagles. The Eagles are tied for last in the NFC East despite having the best point differential in that division.
Vegas still loves the Eagles. They were 9-point favorites last night and the line for next week's game against Arizona opened with the Eagles as 14-point favorites.
There is hope for the Eagles. They have an easy schedule ahead, the Giants have a brutal schedule ahead. The Eagles meet the Giants one more time. The bad news is the Cowboys also have an easy schedule. And the Cowboys carry a 2-3 record in games where the point differential is 7-points or less. The good news is the Eagles also face the Cowboys one more time.
Is there enough time for the luck to even itself out and the Eagles to win the NFC East? I think it is doubtful at this point just because of what little time there is left and the leaps the Eagles will have to make both in the standings and in terms of luck, but the Eagles true talent level is not that of a 3-5 team, rather more likely a 4-4 team or a 5-3 team, which given the overall weakness of the NFC East this year, is just frustrating.
One last point before I go back to preparing preparing psychology presentations, creating Revolutionary War lessons, and reading colonial newspapers. Fire Reid? Absolutely, definitely not. Fire Juan Castillo? Let's wait to the end of the year to have this discussion.